ABPW10 PGTW 040600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS/040600Z-050600ZDEC2023//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
8.5S 160.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.7S 158.3E, APPROXIMATELY 112 NM 
WEST-NORTHWEST OF HONIARA, GUADALCANAL. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL 
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 040331Z AMSR2 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT A 
BROAD, PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) THAT IS 
SLOWLY CONSOLIDATING. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT 92P IS IN 
A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT, WITH ROBUST RADIAL OUTFLOW, VERY LOW (5-10 
KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. 
GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 92P WILL TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD 
THEN MAKE A SHARP SOUTHWARD TURN AS IT INTENSIFIES OVER THE NEXT 48 
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE 
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 
THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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