ABPW10 PGTW 030600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS/030600Z-040600ZDEC2023//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
8.9S 168.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.5S 160.8E, APPROXIMATELY 80 NM 
NORTHEAST OF HONIARA, GUADALCANAL. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE 
IMAGERY AND A 030248Z AMSR2 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT A BROAD, 
PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH 
DISORGANIZED FLARING CONVECTION OVER THE AREA. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS 
INDICATES THAT 92P IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH 
GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT, LOW (10-15 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM (29-
30 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. HOWEVER, LAND INTERACTION WILL HINDER 
DEVELOPMENT AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS OVER THE SOLOMON ISLANDS. GLOBAL 
MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 92P WILL TRACK WESTWARD OVER THE 
NEXT 48 HOURS AND CONTINUE TO DEVELOP. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS 
ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A 
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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