ABPW10 PGTW 020600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS/020600Z-030600ZDEC2023//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
8.9S 168.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.9S 168.0E, APPROXIMATELY 476 NM EAST 
OF HONIARA, GUADALCANAL. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 
A 020205Z AMSR2 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT A BROAD AND WEAKLY 
DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH SCATTERED DEEP CONVECTION 
ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT 
92P IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH ROBUST OUTFLOW 
ALOFT, LOW (5-10 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM (29-30 C) SEA 
SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 92P 
WILL TRACK WESTWARD TOWARD THE SOLOMON ISLANDS AND CONTINUE TO DEVELOP 
OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS BEFORE MAKING A POLEWARD TURN AT AROUND TAU 96. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. 
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE 
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 
THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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