ABPW10 PGTW 020200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/020200Z-020600ZDEC2023//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
7.2S 170.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.9S 168.8E, APPROXIMATELY 520NM EAST 
OF HONIARA GUADALCANAL. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY 
DEPICTS A SLOWLY CONSOLIDATING AREA OF TURNING OBSCURED BY PATCHES OF 
DEEP CONVECTION. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES 92P IS IN A FAVORABLE 
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH FAVORABLE (10-15 KNOT) VWS, STRONG 
DIVERGENCE ALOFT WITH OUTFLOW TOWARDS THE WEST AND POLEWARD, VERY WARM 
(30-31C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND HIGH OCEAN HEAT CONTENT. GLOBAL 
MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 92P WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK GENERALLY 
WESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WHILE THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO 
CONSOLIDATE. THOUGH OVERALL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE, THE CURRENTLY 
BROAD LLCC WILL LIKELY LIMIT DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS, 
WITH DEVELOPMENT MORE LIKELY AFTER 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE 
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A 
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO 
MEDIUM.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1) TO 
MEDIUM.//
NNNN