ABIO10 PGTW 160730
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 
REISSUED/160730Z-161800ZNOV2023//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/160721ZNOV2023//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94B) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
15.6N 86.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 87.4E, APPROXIMATELY 279 NM SOUTH 
OF KOLKATA, INDIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) 
DEPICTS A FULLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH DEEP 
CONVECTION NOW SHEARED OFF THE NORTHEAST. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS 
INDICATES THAT 94B IS IN A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR 
DEVELOPMENT WITH ROBUST POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, WARM (28-29 C) SEA 
SURFACE TEMPERATURES, OFFSET BY HIGH (25-30 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. 
GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 94B WILL TRACK NORTH-
NORTHEASTWARD AND CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY BEFORE INTERACTING WITH 
LAND WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE 
ESTIMATED AT 28 TO 32 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO 
BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT 
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH. SEE REF A 
(WTIO21 PGTW 160730) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA. 1.B.(1) TO HIGH.//
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