ABIO10 PGTW 151030
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 
REISSUED/151030Z-151800ZNOV2023//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94B) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 14.8N 
86.8E, APPROXIMATELY 475 NM SOUTH OF KOLKATA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL 
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 150733Z ATMS 88.2 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT A 
PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH FLARING 
CONVECTION IN THE NORTHEASTERN SEMICIRCLE BEGINNING TO WRAP INTO THE 
LLCC. A 150405Z ASCAT-B PARTIAL PASS REVEALS 15-20 KT WINDS NORTH AND 
EAST OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT 
94B IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH ROBUST POLEWARD 
OUTFLOW ALOFT, LOW (10-15 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM (28-29 C) 
SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 94B 
WILL TRACK NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AND CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVER THE NEXT 48 
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. 
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE 
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 
THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1)//
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