ABPW10 PGTW 141430
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/141430Z-150600ZNOV2023//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/131951ZNOV2023//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/141352ZNOV2023//
NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FINAL WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL 
CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 13NOV23 1800Z, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W (SEVENTEEN) WAS 
LOCATED NEAR 4.6N 140.5E, APPROXIMATELY 398 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF 
KOROR, AND HAD TRACKED SOUTH- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 
SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS 
GUSTING TO 30 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 132100) FOR THE FINAL 
WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 97W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 3.5N 
170.9E, APPROXIMATELY 362 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KWAJALEIN. ENHANCED 
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 141231Z GMI 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE 
DEPICT A BROAD AND DISORGANIZED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH DEEP 
CONVECTIVE BURSTS ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY WITH A LARGER MASS OF 
CONVECTION DISPLACED TO THE SOUTHEAST. HOWEVER, A 141026Z ASCAT-B 
IMAGE REVEALS A DEFINED ELONGATED CIRCULATION WITH 10-15 KT WINDS. 
ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT 97W IS IN A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE 
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW (10-15 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR 
AND WARM (30 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OFFSET BY WEAK OUTFLOW ALOFT. 
GLOBAL MODELS AGREE THAT 97W WILL TRACK IN A GENERALLY WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD DIRECTION BUT DISAGREE ON INTENSIFICATION. GFS IS THE 
MOST AGGRESSIVE MODEL WHILE ECMWF SHOWS CONSIDERABLY LESS DEVELOPMENT. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 17 KNOTS. 
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE 
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 
THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 14NOV23 1200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P (MAL) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 17.2S 175.6E, APPROXIMATELY 169 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF SUVA, FIJI, 
AND HAD TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX 
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS 
GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPS31 PGTW 141500) FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1)//
NNNN