ABPW10 PGTW 130300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/130330Z-130600ZNOV2023//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/130151ZNOV2023//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/130152ZNOV2023//
NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 13NOV23 0000Z, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W (SEVENTEEN) WAS 
LOCATED NEAR 7.1N 138.3E, APPROXIMATELY 144 NM SOUTH OF YAP, AND HAD 
TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 
35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 130300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
4.9N 169.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5.0N 167.8E, APPROXIMATELY 300 NM 
EAST OF KOSRAE. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 
120510Z HIMAWARI-9 VISIBLE IMAGE DEPICT A BROAD AREA OF TURNING WITH 
FORMATIVE SHALLOW BANDS OF CONVECTION WRAPPING INTO A CONSOLIDATING 
LLCC. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES 96W IS IN A FAVORABLE 
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH GOOD UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE, HIGH 
SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (30-31C), AND LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (5-10 
KTS). GLOBAL NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN FAIR AGREEMENT THAT 96W 
WILL CONTINUE TO CONSOLIDATE AND FURTHER DEVELOP AS IT TRACKS WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS 
ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A 
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 13NOV23 0000Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P (TWO) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 10.0S 170.8E, APPROXIMATELY 484 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF PORT VILA, 
VANUATU, AND HAD TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX 
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS 
GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPS32 PGTW 130300) FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
8.6S 169.4E IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE 
PARA 2.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 2.B(1) TO WARNING 
STATUS.//
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