ABPW10 PGTW 110600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS/110600Z-120600ZNOV2023//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
5.5N 147.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.4N 147.0E, APPROXIMATELY 443 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS AN 
EXPOSED AND BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH DISORGANIZED, 
INTERMITTENT CONVECTION IN THE WESTERN PERIPHERY. FORMATIVE SHALLOW 
BANDING IS OBSERVED WRAPPING INTO THE LLCC IN A 110500Z HIMAWARI-9 
VISIBLE 1KM IMAGE. ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT 95W IS IN A FAVORABLE 
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH EASTERLY DIFFLUENT OUTFLOW ALOFT, LOW 
TO MEDIUM (5-15 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM (30 C) SEA SURFACE 
TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS AGREE THAT 95W WILL BE QUASI-STATIONARY AS 
IT SLOWLY DEVELOPS OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE 
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A 
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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