ABPW10 PGTW 100600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS/100600Z-110600ZNOV2023//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 5.5N 
147.9E, APPROXIMATELY 505 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED 
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS AN EXPOSED AND BROAD LOW-LEVEL 
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH DISORGANIZED, DEEP CONVECTION IN THE 
NORTHERN PERIPHERY. A 100001Z ASCAT-C IMAGE REVEALS AN ELONGATED 
CIRCULATION WITH 15-20 KT WINDS IN THE WESTERN AND NORTHERN QUADRANTS OF 
THE CIRCULATION WITH WEAKER 5-15 KT WINDS ELSEWHERE. ENVIRONMENTAL 
ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT 95W IS IN A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR 
DEVELOPMENT WITH EASTERLY DIFFLUENT FLOW, LOW TO MODERATE (15-20 KTS) 
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM (30 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL 
MODELS AGREE THAT 95W WILL BE QUASI-STATIONARY AS IT SLOWLY DEVELOPS 
OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 
15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 
MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE 
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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