ABPW10 PGTW 302030
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/302030Z-310600ZOCT2023//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 13.2N 
128.2E, APPROXIMATELY 434 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED 
ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE AND A 301659Z AMSR2 89 GHZ MICROWAVE 
IMAGE DEPICT A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH A PLUME OF DENSE 
CONVECTION HANGING OVER A SMALLER EMBEDDED VORTEX. A 301314Z ASCAT 
METOP-C BULLSEYE FURTHER REVEALED THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER 
(LLCC) TO BE TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE FLARING CONVECTION AND PARTIALLY 
OBSCURED WITH WINDS IN THE NORTHWESTERN SEMICIRCLE AT A STEADY 15-20 
KNOTS AND A SMALL PATCH OF STRONGER WINDS FUELED BY CONVERGENCE AND 
CONVECTION OUTSIDE OF THE CIRCULATION. WINDS ON THE SOUTHERN SIDE OF THE 
CIRCULATION ARE WITHIN THE WEAKER RANGE OF 05-10 KNOTS AS WELL. 
CURRENTLY THE ENVIRONMENTAL DATA SHOWS 92W TO BE IN A FAVORABLE 
ENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT, CHARACTERIZED BY WARM (30-31 C) SEA 
SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW BUT THIS WILL BE 
QUICKLY OFFSET BY UNFAVORABLE (20-25 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL 
MODELS AGREE 92W WILL CONTINUE WESTWARD TOWARDS THE PHILIPPINES AND INTO 
A SHEARED ENVIRONMENT WHERE IT WILL LIKELY DISSIPATE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL 
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS 
IS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA TO PARA 1.B.(1).//
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