ABPW10 PGTW 291330
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/291330Z-300600ZAUG2023//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/290753ZAUG2023//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/290752ZAUG2023//
NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 29AUG23 0600Z, TROPICAL STORM 10W (HAIKUI) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 19.0N 137.2E, APPROXIMATELY 416 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO TO, AND HAD 
TRACKED WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS GUSTING TO 70 
KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN33 PGTW 290900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) AT 29AUG23 0600Z, TYPHOON 09W (SAOLA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 
18.9N 123.1E, APPROXIMATELY 285 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MANILA, 
PHILIPPINES, AND HAD TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 
SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 120 
KNOTS GUSTING TO 145 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 290900) FOR 
FURTHER DETAILS.
      (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
9.6N 158.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.1N 154.7E, APPROXIMATELY 597 NM 
EAST OF ANDERSEN AFB. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL INFRARED IMAGERY AND A 
291151Z GMI 91GHZ MICROWAVE PASS DEPICT DEEP CONVECTIVE LINES ON THE 
EAST- AND WESTERN FLANKS, WRAPPING INTO A MOSTLY OBSCURED LOW LEVEL 
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 290130Z SCATTEROMETRY PASS REVEALED 15-
20KT WINDS SURROUNDING AN ELONGATED AREA OF ROTATION. ENVIRONMENTAL 
ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR INTENSIFICATION DUE TO 
LOW (10-15KT) VWS, WARM (30C) SSTS, AND GOOD POLEWARD AND EQUATORWARD 
OUTFLOW. MODELS AGREE THAT 94W WILL INTENSIFY ALONG A NORTHERLY TRACK 
BEFORE RECURVING TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND THE NORTHERN MARIANAS 
ISLANDS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. 
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE 
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO 
MEDIUM.//
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