ABPW10 PGTW 260600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS/260600Z-270600ZAUG2023//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/260151ZAUG2023//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/260152ZAUG2023//
NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 26AUG23 0000Z, TYPHOON 09W (SAOLA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 
123.4E, APPROXIMATELY 267 NM NORTH- NORTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, 
AND HAD TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 100 KNOTS GUSTING TO 125 
KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 260300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) AT 26AUG23 0000Z, TROPICAL STORM 08W (DAMREY) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 24.3N 154.0E, APPROXIMATELY 993 NM SOUTHEAST OF YOKOSUKA, JAPAN, 
AND HAD TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX 
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS 
GUSTING TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 260300) FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS.
      (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
14.8N 142.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 143.3E, APPROXIMATELY 150 NM 
NORTHWEST OF GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 
260402Z AMSR2 89 GHZ MICROWAVE PASS DEPICT A BROAD AND HIGHLY 
DISORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH INTENSE CONVECTIVE BURSTS 
ASSOCIATED WITH STRONG (20-25 KTS), CONVERGENT MONSOONAL WESTERLIES. 
ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS WITH A POINT 
SOURCE OVER THE SYSTEM ENHANCING RADIAL OUTFLOW ALOFT. ADDITIONALLY, 
WARM (29-30 C) SST AND LOW (5-10 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ARE 
CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE 93W WILL TRACK 
SLOWLY EASTWARD WITH STEADY DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. THE 
SYSTEM WILL LIKELY STALL OR REORGANIZE TO THE WEST OF THE NORTHERN 
MARIANAS WITH STRONG MONSOONAL FLOW PERSISTING OVER THE REGION. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. 
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE 
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 
THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN