ABPW10 PGTW 251800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/251800Z-260600ZAUG2023//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/251351ZAUG2023//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/251352ZAUG2023//
NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 25AUG23 1200Z, TYPHOON 09W (SAOLA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 
123.8E, APPROXIMATELY 480 NM SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF KADENA AB, AND HAD 
TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 90 KNOTS GUSTING TO 
110 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 251500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) AT 25AUG23 1200Z, TROPICAL STORM 08W (DAMREY) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 21.5N 155.8E, APPROXIMATELY 190 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MINAMI TORI 
SHIMA, AND HAD TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 
55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 251500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 14.8N 
142.0E, APPROXIMATELY 180 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF GUAM. ANIMATED ENHANCED 
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 251345Z GMI 89 GHZ MICROWAVE PASS 
DEPICT A BROAD AND HIGHLY DISORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH 
INTENSE CONVECTIVE BURSTS ASSOCIATED WITH STRONG (20-25 KTS), 
CONVERGENT MONSOONAL WESTERLIES. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS 
FAVORABLE CONDITIONS WITH A POINT SOURCE OVER THE SYSTEM WITH GOOD 
OUTFLOW ALOFT. ADDITIONALLY, WARM (29-30 C) SST AND LOW (10-15 KTS) 
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ARE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT. GLOBAL MODELS 
INDICATE 93W WILL TRACK SLOWLY EASTWARD WITH STEADY DEVELOPMENT OVER 
THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THE SYSTEM WILL LIKELY STALL OVER OR TO THE WEST OF 
THE NORTHERN MARIANAS WITH STRONG MONSOONAL FLOW PERSISTING OVER THE 
REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE 
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 
THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1)//
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