ABPW10 PGTW 070600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS/070600Z-080600ZAUG2023//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/070152ZAUG2023//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/070251ZAUG2023//
NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE 
FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 07AUG23 0000Z, TROPICAL STORM 06W (KHANUN) WAS LOCATED NEAR 
27.8N 131.1E, APPROXIMATELY 326 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SASEBO, JAPAN, AND 
HAD TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS GUSTING TO 70 
KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 070300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
24.3N 145.6E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 24.2N 148.1E, APPROXIMATELY 372 NM EAST 
OF IWO TO, JAPAN. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) AND A 
062011Z SSMIS 91 GHZ MICROWAVE SATELLITE PASS REVEAL DEEP CONVECTIVE 
BANDS ORGANIZING IN THE SOUTHEASTERN PORTION OF A QUICKLY CONSOLIDATING, 
PARTIALLY OBSCURED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 070009Z ASCAT-
B PASS REVEAL AN ELONGATED 20-25 KT WIND FIELD EXTENDING ACROSS THE 
ENTIRE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, WRAPPING INTO THE NORTHERN QUADRANT. 
ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES 95W IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR 
INTENSIFICATION DUE TO WARM (30-31C) SST, LOW (5-10 KTS) VWS, AND GOOD 
EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT THAT 95W SHOULD
QUICKLY INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS, WHILE TURNING BACK TOWARDS THE 
WEST-NORTHWEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 
23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1001 MB. 
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE 
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH. SEE REF B (WTPN21 PGTW 
070300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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