ABPW10 PGTW 061300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/061300Z-070600ZAUG2023//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/060752ZAUG2023//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 06AUG23 0600Z, TROPICAL STORM 06W (KHANUN) WAS LOCATED NEAR 
27.8N 130.1E, APPROXIMATELY 319 NM SOUTH OF SASEBO, JAPAN, AND HAD 
TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. 
SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 060900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
25.7N 145.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 24.8N 145.7E, APPROXIMATELY 238 NM EAST 
OF IWO TO, JAPAN. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 
060749Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT A CONSOLIDATING LOW-LEVEL 
CIRCULATION WITH CURVED DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING OVER THE EASTERN 
SEMICIRCLE. A RECENT SCATTEROMETER IMAGE SHOWS 15-20 KNOTS TO THE 
SOUTHEAST ASSOCIATED WITH THE DEEP CONVECTION AND 10 KNOTS ELSEWHERE. 
ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT DUE TO LOW (5-
10 KTS) VWS, WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND GOOD EQUATORWARD 
OUTFLOW. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 95W WILL DRIFT 
POLEWARD OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS WHILE STEADILY CONSOLIDATING AND 
INTENSIFYING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE 
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 
THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO MEDIUM.//
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