ABPW10 PGTW 231400
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/231400Z-240600ZJUL2023//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/230751ZJUL2023//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 23JUL23 0600Z, TYPHOON 05W (DOKSURI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 
14.9N 128.3E, APPROXIMATELY 722 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, 
AND HAD TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM 
CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 230600Z IS 988 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS 
WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 
230900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 4.3N 
144.1E, APPROXIMATELY 471 NM SOUTHEAST OF YAP. ANIMATED INFRARED 
IMAGERY AND A 230911Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE PASS DEPICT AN AREA OF 
PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION TO THE SOUTHWEST OF A BROAD AND SLOWLY 
CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 231136Z ASCAT-B 
PASS A LARGE AND RELATIVELY WEAK CIRCULATION, WITH SOME ENHANCED WINDS 
UP TO 25-30 KNOTS ON THE WESTERN FLANK BENEATH THE CONVECTION BUT 
OTHERWISE SHOWS WINDS OF 15 KNOTS OR LESS IN THE OTHER QUADRANTS. 
ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT CURRENT CONDITIONS ARE MARGINAL 
FOR INTENSIFICATION WITH WARM (30C) SSTS, AND LOW (10-15 KNOTS) 
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) BEING OFFSET BY MODERATE NORTHERLY FLOW 
EMANATING FROM THE OUTFLOW FROM TY 05W TO THE NORTHWEST. GLOBAL MODELS 
ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT 91W WILL CONTINUE TO MEANDER SLOWLY TOWARDS THE 
NORTH-NORTHWEST FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS BEFORE PICKING UP SPEED TOWARDS 
THE NORTHWEST AFTER TAU 48, WHILE ENSEMBLES ARE PREDICTING A 
NORTHEASTWARD TRACK BEFORE RECURVING TO THE NORTHWEST ALONG A SIMILAR 
TIMELINE. GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST THE SYSTEM WILL SLOWLY CONSOLIDATE 
THROUGH TAU 48, BEFORE GRADUALLY INTENSIFYING THEREAFTER. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA 
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS 
IS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RESISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1).//
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