ABIO10 PGTW 051800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 
051800Z-061800ZJUN2023//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/051251JUN2023//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92A) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
10.8N 66.6E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 66.1E, APPROXIMATELY 723 NM EAST OF 
SOCOTRA, REPUBLIC OF YEMEN. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY 
DEPICTS A RAPIDLY CONSOLIDATING LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH 
FORMATIVE DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO A WELL-DEFINED CENTER. 
ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH STRONG 
DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. SST VALUES ARE VERY WARM 
(30-31C) AND SUPPORT FURTHER INTENSIFICATION. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE 
RAPID CONSOLIDATION WITH A SLOW POLEWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 48 
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. 
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL 
FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 
HOURS REMAINS HIGH. SEE REF A (WTIO21 PGTW 051300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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