ABIO10 PGTW 050630
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 
REISSUED/050630Z-051800ZJUN2023//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92A) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 10.8N 
66.6E, APPROXIMATELY 612 NM SOUTHWEST OF MUMBAI, INDIA. ANIMATED 
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A RAPIDLY CONSOLIDATING LOW-LEVEL 
CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH FORMATIVE DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO A 
WELL-DEFINED CENTER. A 050217Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALS 
MULTIPLE FRAGMENTED CONVECTIVE BANDS WITH A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LLC. 
ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH STRONG 
DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. SST VALUES ARE VERY WARM 
(30-31C) AND SUPPORT FURTHER INTENSIFICATION. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE 
RAPID CONSOLIDATION WITH A SLOW POLEWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM 
SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS 
MEDIUM.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED MEDIUM AREA IN PARAGRAPH 1.B.(1).//
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