WTPN31 PGTW 030300 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 02W (MAWAR) WARNING NR 057// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MAWAR) WARNING NR 057 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 030000Z --- NEAR 30.7N 138.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 28 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 250 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 215 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 30.7N 138.1E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z --- 34.2N 145.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 225 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 39 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z --- 38.5N 153.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 215 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 175 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 030300Z POSITION NEAR 31.6N 139.9E. 03JUN23. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MAWAR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 287 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF YOKOSUKA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 28 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME GROSSLY SHEARED/ELONGATED AS IT TRACKED UNDER THE STRONG PREVAILING WESTERLIES. THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE BASED ON THE MOSTLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION THAT IS ALSO EVIDENT ON THE MSI LOOP. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 35 KTS IS BASED ON THE HIGH END OF AGENCY AND AUTOMATED DVORAK ESTIMATES. TS MAWAR IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DETERIORATE AS IT TRACKS FURTHER INTO THE COLD BAROCLINIC ZONE. IT HAS BEGUN EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION AND BY TAU 12 WILL TRANSFORM INTO A GALE-FORCE COLD CORE LOW WITH AN EXPANDING WIND FIELD THAT WILL BE INDISTINGUISHABLE FROM THE BAROCLINIC WIND FLOW. THERE IS A DISTINCT POSSIBILITY THAT TS 02W WILL DISSIPATE AND/OR BE ABSORBED INTO THE BAROCLINIC FLOW BEFORE TAU 12. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 060300Z IS 984 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z IS 13 FEET.// NNNN