ABIO10 PGTW 132230
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 
REISSUED/132230Z-141800ZMAY2023//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/131951ZMAY2023//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 13MAY23 1800Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (MOCHA) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 17.8N 91.1E, APPROXIMATELY 273 NM SOUTH OF CHITTAGONG, AND HAD 
TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 130 KNOTS GUSTING TO 160 
KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 132100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
2.3S 86.6E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 3.8SS 84.2E, APPROXIMATELY 731 NM EAST-
NORTHEAST OF DEAGIO GARCIA, UK. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY 
AND A 131957Z 165.5 GHZ ATMS IMAGE DEPICT A FULLY OBSCURED LLC WITH 
WRAPPING BANDED CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAVORABLE 
ENVIRONMENT WITH LOW TO MODERATE (15-20) VWS, GOOD EQUATORIAL OUTFLOW, 
AND WARM SST (29-30C).  GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT 92S WILL 
TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD CONTINUING TO DEVELOP AND INTENSIFY OVER THE 
NEXT 12-36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 27 TO 
32 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB.THE 
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 
THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(1) TO HIGH.//
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