ABIO10 PGTW 090200 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN REISSUED/090200Z-091800ZMAY2023// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91B) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.3N 92.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.2N 89.6E, APPROXIMATELY 321 NM SOUTHWEST OF PORT BLAIR. MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) AND A 082312Z 91GHZ SSMIS MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEAL A DEPRESSION-LIKE STRUCTURE WITH FORMATIVE CONVECTIVE BANDING. 91B HAS BECOME MUCH MORE ORGANIZED, WITH NUMEROUS OVERSHOOTING CLOUD TOPS WITHIN THE BROADER CONVECTIVE CANOPY. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH IMPROVING EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, LOW (5-10KT) VWS, AND VERY WARM (31- 32C) SST. AS 91B CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE, GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN STRONG AGREEMENT THAT IT WILL INTENSIFY IN RESPONSE TO A WESTERLY WIND BURST OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAY OF BENGAL WHICH IS ENHANCING THE POTENTIAL FOR TC DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.// 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO MEDIUM.// NNNN