ABPW10 PGTW 030600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS/030600Z-040600ZMAY2023//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
8.3N 127.6E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.5N 123.0E, APPROXIMATELY 250 NM 
EAST OF PUERTO PRINCESA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE 
IMAGERY AND A 030138Z 89GHZ AMSU-B IMAGE DEPICT A BROAD, DISORGANIZED 
LLCC WITH FLARING CONVECTION. ANALYSIS INDICATES THE INVEST IS IN A 
MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT DEFINED BY GOOD 
POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT WITH FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND WARM 
SSTS (30-31C) OFFSET BY MODERATE (15-20KTS) VWS. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN 
GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 93W WILL TRACK GENERALLY WESTWARD ACROSS THE SULU 
SEA OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. ALTHOUGH THE ENVIRONMENT IS FAVORABLE, 
THE WEAK LOW-LEVEL STRUCTURE AND INTERACTION WITH LAND WILL LIKELY 
LIMIT DEVELOPMENT IN THE NEAR-TERM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS 
ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A 
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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