ABPW10 PGTW 020600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS/020600Z-030600ZMAY2023//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
6.8N 132.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.3N 127.6E, APPROXIMATELY 135 NM 
EAST-NORTHEAST OF DAVAO, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE 
IMAGERY INCLUDING A 020500Z HIMAWARI SATELLITE IMAGE, AS WELL AS A 
020426Z AMSR2 PASS, DEPICT BROAD, DISORGANIZED LOW LEVEL TURNING WITH 
FLARING CONVECTION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES GENERALLY GOOD 
POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT WITH FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE, LOW VWS 
(5-10KTS) AND WARM SSTS (30-31C). GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT 
THAT 93W WILL TRACK GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24-48 
HOURS. ALTHOUGH THE ENVIRONMENT IS FAVORABLE, THE WEAK LOW-LEVEL 
STRUCTURE AND PASSAGE OVER LAND WILL LIKELY LIMIT DEVELOPMENT IN THE 
NEAR-TERM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE 
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 
THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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