ABIO10 PGTW 272030 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN REISSUED/272030Z-281800ZMAR2023// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 11.9S 96.4E, APPROXIMATELY 32 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF COCOS ISLANDS, USTRALIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY AND A 271528Z METOP-B ASCAT PASS DEPICT A FULLY OBSCURED LLCC WITH FLARING CONVECTION IN THE NORTH EAST AND SOUTH EAST QUADRANTS. THE ASCAT PASS SHOW 20 KNOT WINDS IN THE SOUTHEAST PERIPHERY OF THE LLC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES 96S IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH STRONG POLEWARD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW, LOW TO MEDIUM VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-20KTS) AND WARM SST (28-29C). GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GENERALLY GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 96S WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS WITH MODELS TAKING A SOUTHEAST TRACK. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 97S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 17.0S 63.3E, APPROXIMATELY 160 NM NORTH OF PORT MATHURIN, MAURITIUS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY AND A 271708Z METOP-B PARTIAL ASCAT PASS DEPICT FULLY EXPOSED LLC WITH UPPER LEVEL CONVECTION SHEARED TO THE EAST. THE ASCAT PASS SHOWS 30 KNOT GRADIENT WINDS TO THE SOUTH OF THE LLC WITH 15-20 KNOT WINDS WRAPPING INTO THE LLC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS THAT 97S IS CURRENTLY IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH STRONG POLAR OUTFLOW, LOW TO MEDIUM VWS (15-20 KTS) AND WARM SST (28-29C). GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GENERALLY GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 97S WILL TRACK SOUTH WESTWARD AND MAY CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 27 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA. 1.B.(1) AND 1.B. (2).// NNNN