ABPW10 PGTW 140200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/140200Z-140600ZMAR2023//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
16.8S 167.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.2S 165.1E, APPROXIMATELY 205 NM 
WEST-NORTHWEST OF PORT VILLA, VANUATU. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL 
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A COMPACT SYSTEM WITH WEAK TO MODERATE 
CONVECTION EMBEDDED IN THE SOUTH PACIFIC CONVERGENCE ZONE. THE SYSTEM 
IS CURRENTLY IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH NEAR RADIAL OUTFLOW 
ALOFT, LOW (5-10KT) VWS, AND WARM (28-29C) SST. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN 
AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 91P WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AS 
IT GRADUALLY DEVELOPS OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL 
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE 
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
      (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
18.7S 171.6W IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18.9S 170.7W, APPROXIMATELY 48 NM 
WEST-NORTHWEST OF NIUE. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY 
DEPICTS A DISORGANIZED SYSTEM WITH FLARING CONVECTION, AND A RECENT 
132121Z PARTIAL METOP-B ASCAT DEPICTS AN AREA OF MOSTLY 15-20 KNOT 
WINDS ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY WITH A REGION OF 20-25 KNOTS ON THE 
NORTHERN PERIPHERY WHERE THE STRONGEST CONVECTION IS PRESENT. THE MOST 
RECENT SURFACE OBSERVATION FROM NIUE AIRPORT AT 140000Z SHOWS WINDS 
COMING FROM THE NORTH AT 15 KNOTS AND A MSLP OF 1010MB. THE SYSTEM IS 
CURRENTLY IN A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT WITH MODERATE EASTWARD OUTFLOW 
ALOFT, MODERATE (10-15KT) VWS, AND WARM (28-29C) SST. OVERALL GLOBAL 
MODELS AGREE THE SYSTEM WILL STRUGGLE TO DEVELOP ALONG WITH 
UNCERTAINLY WHETHER OR NOT THE SYSTEM WITH REACH WARNING CRITERIA. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. THE 
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE 
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 
THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO MEDIUM.
      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: DOWNGRADED AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(2) TO 
MEDIUM//
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