WTPS21 PGTW 112330 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (INVEST 99P) CANCELLATION// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/102321ZMAR2023// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20.7S 164.6W IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 22.0S 161.9W, APPROXIMATELY 125 NM WEST- SOUTHWEST OF RAROTONGA, COOK ISLANDS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A WEAK ELONGATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) PARTIALLY OBSCURED BY DISORGANIZED CONVECTION SHEARED TO THE EAST. AN 112022Z ASCAT-B BULLSEYE PASS REVEALS AN ELONGATED CIRCULATION WITH 10 TO 15 KNOT WINDS SURROUNDING THE LLC AND A SMALL SWATH OF 20 KNOT WINDS IN THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN PERIPHERIES. INVEST 99P IS CURRENTLY SITUATED UNDER MODERATE UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLIES AND LOW TO MODERATE (15-20KT) VWS CONTRIBUTING TO A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT. SST REMAINS CONDUCIVE AT 27-28C. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK EASTWARD WITH MINIMAL DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO LOW. THIS CANCELS REF A (WTPS21 PGTW 102330).// NNNN