ABIO10 PGTW 021800 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/021800Z- 031800ZMAR2023// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 11S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 22.3S 35.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 21.3S 38.2E, APPROXIMATELY 220 NM NORTHEAST OF MAXIE MOZAMBIQUE. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH CONVECTION OFFSET IN THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. A 021123Z AMSR2 89GHZ MICROWAVE PASS FURTHER DEPICTS BROAD CONVECTION IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE ALONG WITH WEAK FORMATIVE BANDING IN THE NORTHEASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE LLC. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY SITUATED IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY ROBUST POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, LOW (5-15KT) VWS, AND WARM (28-29C) SST. GLOBAL MODELS HAVE BECOME MORE AGGRESSIVE WITH THE INTENSIFICATION OF THE REMNANTS 11S AND CONTINUE TO AGREE ON AN EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK ACROSS THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.// NNNN