ABPW10 PGTW 010330
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/010330Z-010600ZMAR2023//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/010151ZMAR2023//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 01MAR23 0000Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 15P (JUDY) WAS LOCATED NEAR 
18.2S 168.6E, APPROXIMATELY 35 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PORT VILA, VANUATU, 
AND HAD TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 95 KNOTS GUSTING TO 115 
KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 010300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
12.6S 153.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.3S 160.1E, APPROXIMATELY 231 NM SOUTH 
OF HONIARA, SOLOMON ISLANDS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY 
(MSI) AND AN EARLIER SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEAL A PARTIALLY 
EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) TUCKING BENEATH DEEP FLARING 
CONVECTION TO THE NORTH AND EAST WITH FRAGMENTED BANDING ORIENTED 
NORTHWEST TO EAST WRAPPING TOWARDS THE LLCC. A 282230Z METOP-B ASCAT 
PARTIAL PASS ALONG THE WESTERN EDGE OF 96P SHOWS A BROAD CIRCULATION WITH 
HIGHER WINDS OF 25-30KT ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY WITH A STEADY STREAM 
OF 15-20KT WITHIN THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS. 96P CURRENTLY SITS 
IN A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT DUE TO MODERATE (15-20KT) VWS, WARM 
(29-30C) SST, AND GOOD OUTFLOW BROUGHT ON BY AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE 
FORMING TO THE EAST. GLOBAL MODELS AGREE ON INVEST 96P CONTINUING ON A 
EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK TOWARDS VANUATU WITH THE ISLANDS HINDERING PART 
OF ITS FULL CONSOLIDATION BUT WILL STILL BE ABLE TO GET TO WARNING 
CRITERIA STRENGTH OVER THE NEXT 3-4 DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS 
ARE ESTIMATED AT 27 TO 33 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED 
TO BE NEAR 998 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT 
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(1) TO MEDIUM.//
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