ABPW10 PGTW 271830
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/271830Z-280600ZFEB2023//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/271351ZFEB2023//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 27FEB23 1200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 15P (JUDY) WAS LOCATED NEAR 
13.5S 169.6E, APPROXIMATELY 263 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF PORT VILA, VANUATU, 
AND HAD TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 
KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 271500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 14.2S 
150.5E, APPROXIMATELY 346 NM SOUTHEAST OF PORT MORESBY, PAPUA NEW GUINEA. 
ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 271510Z AMSR2 
89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEAL A SMALL AREA OF FLARING CONVECTION OVER A 
POORLY ORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). WHILE CURRENTLY 
RATHER DISORGANIZED, THE LLCC STRUCTURE IS STEADILY IMPROVING AS 
EVIDENCED IN THE AMSR2 MICROWAVE IMAGE. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE 
BECOMING MORE FAVORABLE WITH MODERATE (15-20KTS) VWS, WARM (29-30C) SST, 
AND WEAK EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL MODELS AGREE ON AN INITIAL 
TRACK TOWARDS THE EAST-NORTHEAST TOWARDS THE SOLOMONS, FOLLOWED BY A TURN 
TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST, GENERALLY TOWARDS VANUATU. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED 
TO STEADILY CONSOLIDATE AND INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 3-4 DAYS. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 22 TO 28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA 
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS 
LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(1).//
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