ABPW10 PGTW 151330 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/151330Z-160600ZFEB2023// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5.3N 134.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.0N 134.4E, APPROXIMATELY 80 NM SOUTH OF PALAU. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) AND A 150938Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE PASS DEPICTS A BROAD CIRCULATION WITH DEEP CONVECTION IN THE NORTHWESTERN SEMICIRCLE. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS THE AREA TO BE UNFAVORABLE FOR 99W TO DEVELOP DUE TO VERY HIGH (30-40KT) VWS AND MINIMAL UPPER LEVEL EXHAUST, OFFSET ONLY BY WARM (28- 29C) SSTS. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT 99W WILL CONTINUE ON A NORTH-NORTHWESTERLY TRACK OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS WITH LITTLE INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.1S 140.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.9S 139.5E, APPROXIMATELY 105 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MORNINGTON ISLAND, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) AND A 150932Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE PASS DEPICT A WEAK AND ELONGATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH A RELATIVELY SMALL AREA OF CONVECTION IN THE SOUTHEASTERN PORTION OF THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA. A 151200Z METAR FROM MORNINGTON ISLAND REVEALS WINDS FROM THE SOUTHEAST AT 14KTS. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS THAT INVEST 91P IS IN A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR INTENSIFICATION DUE LOW TO MODERATE (15-20) VWS, MODERATE POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND VERY WARM (29-30C) SST. GLOBAL MODELS GENERALLY AGREE THAT INVEST 91P TRACK IN A SOUTHEASTWARD TRAJECTORY BEFORE RECURVING SOUTHWEST, AND MAKING LANDFALL OVER NORTHERN AUSTRALIA WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 998 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO LOW. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: DOWNGRADED AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(1) TO LOW.// NNNN