ABIO10 PGTW 061800 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/061800Z- 071800ZFEB2023// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/061351ZFEB2023// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 06FEB23 1200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 11S (FREDDY) WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6S 118.5E, APPROXIMATELY 383 NM NORTHWEST OF BROOME, AUSTRALIA, AND HAD TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 061500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.9S 99.6E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.3S 99.2E, APPROXIMATELY 150 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF COCOS ISLANDS. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) SHOWS A SLOWLY CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) ASSOCIATED WITH DEEP CONVECTION TO THE NORTHWEST. A 061700Z OBSERVATION FROM COCOS ISLANDS REVEALS WINDS OF 18 KTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST AND A MSLP OF 1005MB. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE MARGINALLY FAVORABLE DEFINED BY DECENT POLEWARD AND EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW AND WARM (29-30C) SSTS OFFSET BY HIGH (25-30 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL MODELS HAVE BACKED OFF AND PREDICT INVEST 94S WILL TAKE LONGER THAN 48 HOURS TO CONSOLIDATE AND INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS SOUTHWESTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO LOW. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.// NNNN