ABPW10 PGTW 060600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS 060600Z-070600ZFEB2023//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
12.8S 158.1E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.5S 156.7E APPROXIMATELY 266 NM 
SOUTHWEST -OF HONIARA, SOLOMON ISLANDS. ANIMATED EIR AND A 052257Z AMSU-B 
89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT A DISORGANIZED AREA OF TURNING WITH FLARING 
CONVECTION IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT. THE UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS 
INDICATES INVEST 99W IS A IN FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH 
LOW (5-15KT) VWS, WARM (29-30C) SST, SLIGHTLY OFFSET BY WEAK WESTWARD 
UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 99W WILL 
TRACK GENERALLY SOUTHWESTWARD AND GRADUALLY INTENSIFY THROUGH TAU 48 AFTER 
WHICH THE SYSTEM TURNS SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE 
INTENSIFYING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 17 TO 
22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. 
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE 
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
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