ABIO10 PGTW 140030
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 
REISSUED/140030Z-141800ZJAN2023//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
7.7S 80.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.6S 80.5E, APPROXIMATELY 480 NM EAST OF 
DIEGO GARCIA. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING 
LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) PARTIALLY OBSCURED BY DEEP CONVECTION 
OVERHEAD. A 132244Z SSMIS 91GHZ IMAGE REVEALS IMPROVED CONVECTIVE BANDING 
WRAPPING INTO A WELL-DEFINED LLCC. A 131632Z ASCAT-C IMAGE DEPICTS A MORE 
SYMMETRIC AND DEFINED CIRCULATION WITH A SWATH OF 20-25 KNOT WINDS IN THE 
SOUTHERN QUADRANT. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE MARGINALLY FAVORABLE WITH 
MODERATE OUTFLOW ALOFT AND WARM (28-29) SST, OFFSET BY LOW TO MODERATE 
(15-20KT) NORTHEASTERLY VWS. GLOBAL MODELS REMAIN IN AGREEMENT THAT 96S 
WILL REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE 
IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A 
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO 
MEDIUM.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1) TO MEDIUM.//
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