ABPW10 PGTW 071930
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/071930Z-080600ZJAN2023//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/071351ZJAN2023//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 07JAN23 1200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 07P (SEVEN) WAS LOCATED NEAR 
21.6S 158.5E, APPROXIMATELY 424 NM WEST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONI, AND HAD 
TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. 
SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 071500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 22.6S 
170.4E, APPROXIMATELY 219 NM EAST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA. ANIMATED 
ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS FLARING DEEP CONVECTION 
ORGANIZED IN A WELL-DEFINED SPIRAL PATTERN, OBSCURING A LOW LEVEL 
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). AN EARLIER 071055Z ASCAT METOP-B PASS WAS ABLE 
TO SINGLE OUT THE AFOREMENTIONED LLCC THAT WAS SLIGHTLY ELONGATED DO TO 
THE LAND INTERACTION WITH NEW CALEDONIA AND OTHER SURROUNDING ISLANDS. 
THE EARLIER ASCAT INDICATED WINDS UP TO 30 KNOTS ALONG THE NORTHERN SIDE 
OF THE CIRCULATION, SUPPORTED BY SHIP OBSERVATIONS IN THE REGION. 
ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS SHOWS MODERATE POLEWARD AND EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW 
SUPPORTED BY AN UPPER LEVEL CYCLONE TO THE NORTHWEST, WARM (28-29C) SEA 
SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND LOW (10-15KT) VERTICAL WINDSHEAR INDICATIVE OF 
FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT. MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS 95P TAKING A 
STEADY EAST-SOUTHEAST TRAJECTORY, REMAINING A DISTINCT ENTITY SEPARATE 
FROM TC 07P THROUGH THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE 
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 27 TO 33 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A 
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(1).//
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