ABPW10 PGTW 061430
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/061430Z-070600ZJAN2023//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/061351ZJAN2023//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
18.9S 149.6E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 19.9S 151.4E, APPROXIMATELY 308 NM 
NORTHWEST OF CATO ISLAND, AUSTRALIA. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE 
IMAGERY DEPICTS BROAD, FRAGMENTED BUT CONSOLIDATING CONVECTIVE BAND 
WRAPPING INTO THE LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) THAT IS EMBEDDED ALONG THE 
MONSOON TROUGH. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATE THAT 93P IS IN A 
MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT AND 
WARM (28C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE OFFSET BY MEDIUM TO HIGH (20-25KT) 
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 93P WILL 
TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD AND GRADUALLY INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 12-48 HOURS. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 995 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 
061400) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1) TO HIGH.
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