ABPW10 PGTW 060600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS/060600Z-070600ZJAN2023//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
            (1) INVEST 96W PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.3N 109.3E HAS 
DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT 
TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
18.1S 148.2E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18.9S 149.6E, APPROXIMATELY 158 NM 
SOUTH OF WILLIS ISLAND, AUSTRALIA. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE 
IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD AREA OF DEEP BUT DISORGANIZED CONVECTION ALONG 
THE MONSOON TROUGH THAT IS OBSCURING THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC). 
ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATE THAT 93P IS IN A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT 
WITH STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT AND WARM (29C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE 
OFFSET BY MODERATE TO STRONG (20KT-25KT) NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND 
SHEAR. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 93P WILL TRACK 
SOUTHEASTWARD AND MOSTLY MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY IN THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM 
SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 998 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS 
REMAINS MEDIUM.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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