ABPW10 PGTW 041200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/041200Z-050600ZJAN2023//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 7.8N 
13.9E, APPROXIMATELY 463 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HO CHI MINH, VIETNAM. 
ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 041100Z HIMAWARI-9 IR IMAGE 
DEPICT A FULLY OBSCURED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH A BROAD AREA OF 
FLARING AND DEEPENING CONVECTION TO THE NORTH. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS 
INDICATES 96W IS IN A MODERATELY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT 
WITH MODERATE (20-25 KNOT) WIND SHEAR, GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT AND 
WARM (26-27C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD 
AGREEMENT THAT 96W WILL TRACK WESTWARD AND DEVELOP OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 
48 HOURS. NUMERICAL MODELS ALSO INDICATE A SIGNIFICANT NORTHERLY WIND 
BURST THROUGHOUT THE REGION WHICH IS FORECAST TO PRODUCE UPWARDS OF 30 
KNOT WINDS TO THE WEST OF 96W AS THE SYSTEM TRANSITS ACROSS THE SOUTH 
CHINA SEA OVER THE COMING DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE 
ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 17 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 
NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL 
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1)//
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