ABIO10 PGTW 031800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN 
OCEAN/031800Z-041800ZJAN2023//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (REMNANTS 06S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
17.8S 127.1E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18.6S 123.0E, APPROXIMATELY 60 NM 
SOUTHEAST OF BROOME, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE 
IMAGERY (EIR) AND A 031047Z SSMIS 91GHZ PASS DEPICTS LOW-LEVEL CLOUD 
LINES WRAPPING TIGHTLY INTO A PARTIALLY EXPOSED, WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL 
CIRCULATION CENTER WITH PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING OVER THE 
NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE UNFAVORABLE AT THE 
MOMENT DUE TO MODERATE TO HIGH (20 TO 30 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND 
LAND INTERACTION. HOWEVER, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW SHOULD AID IN 
INTENSIFICATION AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS CLOSER TO THE COASTLINE AND 
POSSIBLY OVER WATER. COASTAL SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE CONDUCIVE AT 
29-30C. GLOBAL MODELS AGREE ON A WESTWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS 
WITH SLOW INTENSIFICATION BEFORE VEERING SOUTHEASTERLY INLAND. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 28 TO 33 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA 
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 991 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS 
REMAINS MEDIUM.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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