ABIO10 PGTW 020200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 
REISSUED/020200Z-021800ZJAN2023//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (REMNANTS 06S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 17.8S 
127.1E, APPROXIMATELY 280 NM EAST OF BROOME, AUSTRALIA. THE REMNANTS OF 
TC 06S HAVE BEGUN TO RE-CONSOLIDATE OVER NORTHERN AUSTRALIA AND ARE 
LIKELY TO TRACK OVER WATER IN THE NEXT 2 TO 3 DAYS. ANIMATED ENHANCED 
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS LOW-LEVEL CLOUD LINES WRAPPING 
TIGHTLY INTO A PARTIALLY EXPOSED, WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION 
CENTER WITH PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING OVER THE WESTERN 
SEMICIRCLE. ANIMATED RADAR IMAGERY REVEALS RAINBANDS WRAPPING INTO A 
DEFINED, QUASI-STATIONARY CENTER NEAR SPRINGVALE, JUST NORTH OF HALLS 
CREEK AIRPORT. HALLS CREEK IS REPORTING STEADY EASTERLY WINDS AT 15 TO 
20 KNOTS WITH SLP NEAR 993MB. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE UNFAVORABLE 
DUE TO HIGH (25 TO 35 KNOTS) EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND LAND 
INTERACTION HOWEVER UPPER-LEVEL POLEWARD OUTFLOW IS VIGOROUS, WHICH 
SHOULD AID IN SIGNIFICANT INTENSIFICATION WHEN THE SYSTEM TRACKS CLOSER 
TO THE COAST AND OVER WATER. COASTAL SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE 
CONDUCIVE AT 29-30C. BOTH GFS AND ECMWF INDICATE A SLOW, MEANDERING 
WESTWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT 2-3 DAYS WITH STEADY INTENSIFICATION, 
ESPECIALLY OF GALE FORCE WINDS OVER WATER. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE MONITORED 
CLOSELY DUE TO ITS POTENTIAL TO DEEPEN SIGNIFICANTLY PRIOR TO MOVING 
BACK OVER WATER AND AS IT EMERGES OVER THE WARM COASTAL WATERS OF 
AUSTRALIA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 993 MB. THE 
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 
THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARAGRAPH 2.B.(1).//
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