ABIO10 PGTW 222100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 
REISSUED/222100Z-231800ZDEC2022//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/221951ZDEC2022//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/221952ZDEC2022//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.//
AMPN/REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FINAL WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98B) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
9.2N 84.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.1N 84.1E, APPROXIMATELY 313 NM 
NORTHEAST OF COLOMBO, SRI LANKA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE 
IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS FLARING CONVECTION TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE LLC 
THAT IS BEING SHEARED TO THE NORTHWEST. ANALYSIS INDICATES 98B IS IN A 
MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE TO 
STRONG (20-25 KNOT) VWS OFFSET BY PREDOMINATELY POLEWARD DIVERGENCE 
ALOFT AND WARM (28-29C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN 
GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 98B WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK GENERALLY SOUTHWESTWARD 
OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS AND GRADUALLY WEAKENING DUE TO HIGH VWS(25-
30KNOT) THE CLOSER IT GETS TO SRI LANKA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE 
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A 
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 22DEC22 1800Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (DARIAN) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 12.8S 85.8E, APPROXIMATELY 857 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, 
AND HAD TRACKED WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 100 KNOTS GUSTING TO 125 
KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 222100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) AT 22DEC22 1800Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (ELLIE) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 14.2S 130.1E, APPROXIMATELY 112 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF DARWIN, 
AUSTRALIA, AND HAD TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE 
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 
KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS32 PGTW 222100) FOR THE 
FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.
      (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPDATED PARA. 2.A.(2) WITH 06S FINAL 
WARNING INFORMATION.//
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