ABIO10 PGTW 220930 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN REISSUED/220930Z-221800ZDEC2022// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/220751ZDEC2022// REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/220752ZDEC2022// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98B) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.2N 84.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.3N 84.3E, APPROXIMATELY 328NM SOUTHEAST OF CHENNAI, INDIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS A BROAD LLC PARTIALLY EXPOSED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF FLARING CONVECTION THAT IS BEING SHEARED TO THE NORTHWEST. ANALYSIS INDICATES 98B IS IN A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE TO STRONG (20-25 KNOT) VWS OFFSET BY PREDOMINATELY POLEWARD DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND WARM (28-29C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 98B WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK GENERALLY NORTHWARD OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS AND GRADUALLY INTENSIFY; HOWEVER, THE INCREASING VWS WILL LIKELY HINDER DEVELOPMENT INTO A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 22DEC22 0600Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (DARIAN) WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0S 87.4E, APPROXIMATELY 948 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, AND HAD TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 115 KNOTS GUSTING TO 140 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 220900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 22DEC22 0600Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (SIX) WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8S 129.1E, APPROXIMATELY 107 NM WEST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA, AND HAD TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS32 PGTW 220900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.5S 129.5E IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA. 2.A.(2) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1) TO WARNING STATUS.// NNNN