ABIO10 PGTW 142200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 
REISSUED/142200Z-151800ZDEC2022//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/141951ZDEC2022//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 14DEC22 1800Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 07A (SEVEN) WAS LOCATED NEAR 
13.6N 68.6E, APPROXIMATELY 678 NM SOUTH OF KARACHI, PAKISTAN, AND HAD 
TRACKED WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A 
(WTIO31 PGTW 142100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 97A) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
13.5N 69.2E IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA. 
1.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
10.3S 95.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.6S 91.3E, APPROXIMATELY 362 NM WEST-
NORTHWEST OF COCOS ISLANDS, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED EIR SHOWS DEEP CONVECTION 
SHEARED TO THE SOUTHWEST OF A CONSOLIDATED LLC. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS 
INDICATES MARGINALLY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE 
TO STRONG (20-30KT) VWS OFFSET BY STRONG DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND WARM 
(28-29C) SST. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 98S WILL 
TRACK SLOWLY TO THE WEST AND SLIGHTLY INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24-48 
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. 
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL 
FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 
HOURS REMAINS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN 1.A.(1) TO WARNING STATUS. 
//
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