ABIO10 PGTW 071800 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/071800Z- 081800ZDEC2022// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96B) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.5N 86.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.5N 85.1E, APPROXIMATELY 393 NM SOUTHEAST OF CHENNAI, INDIA. ANIMATED MSI AND A 071145Z 91GHZ SSMIS MICROWAVE PASS DEPICT A CONSOLIDATED OBSCURED LLCC WITH FORMATIVE WRAPPING OCCURRING ON THE NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE LLCC. A 071510Z ASCAT METOP-B SCATTEROMETER PARTIAL PASS REVEALED A VAST WIND FIELD WITH LARGE SWATHS OF 30-40 KNOTS WITH 40 KNOTS EMBEDDED ON THE SOUTHEASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE STORM. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS MARGINALLY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT WITH GOOD POLEWARD AND WESTWARD DIVERGENT OUTFLOW ALOFT, WARM (28-29C) SST, OFFSET BY HIGH (30-40KT) VWS. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 96B WILL CONTINUE ON A NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK TOWARDS THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF INDIA WHILE GRADUALLY INTENSIFYING UP TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH WITHIN THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS DESPITE HAVING TO FIGHT AGAINST THE INTENSE VWS AND DRY AIR SEEPING IN. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 27 TO 33 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.// NNNN