ABIO10 PGTW 031800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN 
OCEAN/031800Z-041800ZDEC2022//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
11.0S 64.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.3S 65.4E, APPROXIMATELY 657 NM 
NORTHEAST OF MAURITIUS. ANIMATED EIR SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 031427Z 
91GHZ SSMIS MICROWAVE PASS DEPICTS SPARSE CONVECTION EMBEDDED WITHIN A 
BROAD CIRCULATION AND AN OBSCURED LLC. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS 
MODERATELY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH WARM (28-29C) SST, 
GOOD UPPER-LEVEL RADIAL OUTFLOW OFFSET BY MODERATE (15-25 KNOTS) VWS. 
GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 96S WILL STEADILY TRACK 
WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD WITH LITTLE TO NO DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL 
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS 
REMAINS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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