ABIO10 PGTW 221800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/221800Z-
231800ZNOV2022//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94B) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
11.7N 84.8E IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT 
TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94S) PREVIOUSLY 
LOCATED NEAR 10.8S 111.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.9S 114.9E, 
APPROXIMATELY 620 NM NORTH OF LEARMONTH. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED 
SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS DISORGANIZED CONVECTION ON THE NORTHERN 
PERIPHERY OF A BROAD LLCC. A 221425Z METOP-C ASCAT PASS SHOWS A BROAD 
CIRCULATION WITH 20-25KT WINDS PRESENT ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN FLANK OF 
THE CIRCULATION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES MARGINALLY FAVORABLE 
CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH STRONG POLEWWARD OUTFLOW, WARM (27-28C) 
SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND WEAK (5-10KT) VWS, OFFSET BY THE PRESENCE 
OF DRY AIR IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT ON 
A SLOW SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL 
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS 
REMAINS LOW. 
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN