ABIO10 PGTW 180330
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 
REISSUED/180330Z-181800ZNOV2022//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/180251ZNOV2022//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
9.6S 102.2E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.8S 105.3E, APPROXIMATELY 32 NM 
SOUTHWEST OF CHRISTMAS ISLAND. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) IMAGERY 
AND MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICT A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW 
LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH DEEP CONVECTION DISPLACED TO THE SOUTH OF 
THE LLC. 94S HAS MISSED ITS CHANCE TO DEVELOP AND IS NOW STUCK BENEATH 
PERSISTENT, HIGH (30-40 KNOTS) NORTHEASTERLY VWS. 94S STILL HAS SEA 
SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF 27C AND STRONG 850MB VORTICITY SIGNATURES IN ITS 
FAVOR BUT THAT MAY NOT BE ENOUGH TO SUPPORT FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. GLOBAL 
MODELS AGREE THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TRACKING EAST SOUTHEAST OF JAVA 
WHERE IT WILL REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS AND 
EVENTUALLY DISSIPATE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 27 
TO 33 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. 
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE 
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO LOW. 
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: DOWNGRADED AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(1) TO LOW.//
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