ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/161800Z- 171800ZNOV2022// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/160251ZNOV2022// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5.4S 99.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5.3S 99.8E, APPROXIMATELY 470 NM NORTHWEST OF CHRISTMAS ISLAND. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 152231Z SSMIS 91GHZ PASS ILLUSTRATES A CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH IMPROVED CONVECTIVE BANDING. A 151512Z ASCAT-C SCATTEROMETRY IMAGE SHOWS A DEFINED CIRCULATION WITH 15-25 KT WIND BARBS DISPLACED TO THE NORTH OF THE LLCC. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS MARGINALLY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT DEFINED BY WARM (28-29C) SST, STRONG UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND LOW-MODERATE (15-20KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS). MULTIPLE GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT THAT 94S WILL STEADILY DEVELOP AS IT TRACKS SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS REMAINS HIGH. SEE REF A (WTXS21 PGTW 160300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.// NNNN