ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/141800Z- 151800ZNOV2022// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6.5S 95.6E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.4S 96.9E, APPROXIMATELY 576 NM WEST- NORTHWEST OF CHRISTMAS ISLAND. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY AND A 141200Z SSMIS 91GHZ PASS DEPICT A BROAD WEAKLY DEFINED LLCC WITH DEEP CONVECTION FULLY OBSCURING THE CENTER DESPITE RELATIVELY HIGH SHEAR VALUES. SCATTEROMETRY DATA SHOWS BROAD TURNING AND 20-25KT SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS MARGINALLY UNFAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT DUE TO WARM (28-29C) SST, OFFSET BY MODERATE-HIGH (20- 30KT) VWS AND WEAK UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT OF SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK TOWARDS AUSTRALIA WITH SLOW DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.// NNNN