ABPW10 PGTW 120200 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/120200Z-120600ZNOV2022// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/120121ZNOV2022// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 167.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 165.8E, APPROXIMATELY 86 NM NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH WIDESPREAD FAIRLY DISORGANIZED CONVECTION SHEARED OFF TO THE EAST OF THE LLCC. AN 112315Z ASCAT METOP-B PARTIAL PASS UNCOVERS NOTABLE 25 KNOT WINDS ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE SYSTEM AND 10-15 KNOTS ALONG THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN EDGES. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS SHOWS INVEST 96W HAS A BATTERY IN ITS BACK WITH THE UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE PREVIOUSLY POSITIONED TO THE EAST, HAVING PLACED ITSELF OVER TOP OF THE SYSTEM AND FURTHER INCREASED OUTFLOW ALOFT. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO BE A WARM 27-29C, VWS HAS REMAINED A STEADY 10-15 KNOTS, AND THERE HAS BEEN A MARKED IMPROVEMENT AND STRENGTHENING IN THE 850MB VORTICITY SIGNATURES DESPITE BEING SOMEWHAT ELONGATED. INTENSITY GUIDANCE SHOW A SLOW BUT STEADY INCREASE TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION STRENGTH WITHIN THE NEXT 6-12 HOURS. GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST THE SYSTEM WILL TRACK WESTWARD AND DO A SHARP RECURVE TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST WITH THE PASSING OF A TRANSIENT RIDGE AND START THE TRANSITIONS TO A SUBTROPICAL AND THEN EXTRATROPICAL LOW OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 120130) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA. 1.B.(1) TO HIGH.// NNNN